The board
Today's board · Saturday, October 10, 2026
Dead Money of the Day: Syracuse vs. Virginia (NCAAF, Sat 11:30 PM UTC). The crowd has Virginia priced at 83% on Polymarket with $137K traded in the last 24 hours. The other side, Syracuse, sits at 18%, which the market pays about 5.7x if it lands. That gap is what we mean by dead money: a lot of confidence, a lot of volume, and very little room for the favorite to be wrong. It is a data rule, not a prediction.
Also lopsided
- Kansas vs. Utah: public on Utah at 86%, fade side Kansas at 14%.
- Texans vs. Titans: public on Texans at 76%, fade side Titans at 25%.
College football upset watch
32 college football games have moneyline markets on Polymarket right now. Saturday is when the favorites get tested, so these are the underdogs the market prices at 8-35% before kickoff:
- Kansas at 14% (6.9x) in Kansas vs. Utah (Sun 12:00 AM UTC)
- Syracuse at 18% (5.7x) in Syracuse vs. Virginia (Sat 11:30 PM UTC)
- Kentucky at 25% (4.1x) in LSU vs. Kentucky (Sat 11:00 PM UTC)
- Fresno State at 26% (3.9x) in Boise State vs. Fresno State (Sun 2:30 AM UTC)
- Northern Illinois at 28% (3.5x) in Air Force vs. Northern Illinois (Sat 11:30 PM UTC)
- Indiana at 35% (2.9x) in Ohio State vs. Indiana (Sat 4:00 PM UTC)
Live and close: Duke vs. Georgia Tech (Georgia Tech only 57%); Virginia Tech vs. California (Virginia Tech only 63%); Stony Brook vs. Towson (Stony Brook only 69%); Tennessee vs. Arkansas (Tennessee only 60%).
Upset watch: NFL, MLB, NBA, NHL and college hoops
Underdogs the market prices between 8% and 35% in games that have not started. These are the names our scoreboard snapshots:
- Raiders at 10% in Rams vs. Raiders (NFL, Sun 8:25 PM UTC)
- the Saints at 15% in Pro Football: Saints vs. Buccaneers Season Series Winner (NFL, Wed 4:59 AM UTC)
- Cardinals at 15% in Cardinals vs. Rams (NFL, Sun 8:05 PM UTC)
- Chargers at 20% in Chargers vs. Chiefs (NFL, Sun 8:25 PM UTC)
- Eagles at 24% in Eagles vs. Jaguars (NFL, Sun 1:30 PM UTC)
- Titans at 25% in Texans vs. Titans (NFL, Sun 5:00 PM UTC)
- Dolphins at 25% in Bengals vs. Dolphins (NFL, Sun 5:00 PM UTC)
- Kings at 27% in Kings vs. Spurs (NBA, Sat 12:00 AM UTC)
More sports
Soccer and other leagues: Rei Sakamoto (31%, Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto).
Esports corner
CS2, League, Dota 2 and Valorant underdogs on the board: Team Spirit (31%, Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs); JD Gaming (33%, LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs); Misa Esports (18%, Valorant: BBL Esports vs Misa Esports (BO5) - Monsters Reloaded Closed Qualifier Playoffs).
Scoreboard check
We have tracked 7 underdogs so far and graded 0 of them. Every pick is saved at the first price we saw and graded only after Polymarket closes the market. Full record.
Written from live Polymarket data at 22:22 UTC. Refreshes through the day. 18+ only; informational, not betting advice.